Amid its rapidly increasing usage and immense public interest the subject of Bitcoin has raised profound economic and societal issues. In this paper we undertake economic and econometric modelling of Bitcoin prices. As with many asset classes we show that Bitcoin exhibits speculative bubbles....

This article provides a procedure for the estimation of parametric homogeneous stochastic volatility (SV) pricing formulae based on option data. Our estimator has the advantage of being (i) based on option data, (ii) easy to implement in practice, (iii) with clear statistic properties and (iv)...

This paper analyzes stock-price volatility in the presence of periodically collapsing Evans bubbles. We derive a volatility formula that establishes a link between the bubble component and stock-price volatility. We demonstrate how to fit the volatility equation to stock-market data.

The purpose of this paper is to provide a method by which the economic value of loan advice can be measured. This is achieved by defining advice in terms of the forecasts of future repayments in order to produce a disutility-minimising loan strategy. The economic value of this strategy is then...

This paper employs the Bai and Perron (1998, 2003) structural break methodology to investigate whether the CAPM betas for banking sector stocks are time invariant. I find evidence for three large structural shifts in my monthly (1941.02–2008.01) sample. The third break corresponds with a...

Employing an augmented univariate EGARCH model, we estimate the dynamic impact of information arrival as measured by volume on asymmetric news in the pre and post 2009 global financial crisis in the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE). Our results reveal that trading volume appears to capture a...

The paper studies the interaction between aggregation and persistence pertaining to skip sampling of stock variables as well as temporal aggregation of flow variables for the generalized fractional processes. We show that, for skip sampling, the long memory feature at the zero frequency can...

In this paper we propose a new methodology in improving the Diffusion Index forecasting model (Stock and Watson, 2002a, 2002b) using hard thresholding with robust KVB statistic for regression hypothesis tests (Kiefer et al., 2000). The new method yields promising results in the context of long...

We proposed a method to estimate extreme conditional quantiles by combining quantile GARCH model of Xiao and Koenker (2009) and extreme value theory (EVT) approach. We first estimate the latent volatility process using the information of intermediate quantiles. We then apply EVT to the tail...

This paper employs panel methods that address/mitigate heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence to determine the direction and sign of long-run causality between transport energy consumption per capita and real GDP per capita. Granger-causality was determined to run from GDP to energy.