Quarterly central bank projections regarding future interest rate decisions may become stale when new information enters the market. Using data from New Zealand, we find the predicted time-varying and state-dependent effects of interest rate projections on market expectations and uncertainty.

We quantify the impact of explicit FOMC policy rate guidance announcements at the zero lower bound on Eurodollar interest rate futures. We find that they significantly reduced implied interest rates and led to a flattening of the yield curve.