We introduce non-linear fiscal reaction functions with endogenously estimated state-varying thresholds to capture the behaviour of fiscal policy authorities during “good” and “bad” times. These thresholds vary with the level of debt, the economic cycle and a financial pressure index.

This paper provides the first systematic analysis of the evolution of female and male appointments to central bank boards. We build a novel and unique dataset that tracks appointments and replacements in a balanced panel of 26 OECD central bank boards from 2003 to 2015. We find that the...

This paper examines the degree of fragmentation in the Euro overnight unsecured money market during the period June 2008–August 2013 using interbank loans constructed from payments data. After controlling for cross-country differences in bank risk, we document several episodes of significant...

We investigate the effect of central bank independence on stock market returns in emerging economies. We find evidence for a positive overall effect, but economic independence of the central bank appears to be more relevant than political independence.

I examine if the 2009 bank stress test conducted by the Federal Reserve conveyed new information to investors. By analyzing bank bond returns, I show that the announcement of the bank stress test results mitigated information asymmetries in US banks.

We present processes on stock exchange as two random processes one of which reflects the regular regime of economy and the other one–crises. If regular processes are correctly recognized with the probability slightly higher than 1/2, this gives positive average gain to the player. We believe...

We present an alternative measurement method of investor overconfidence, using unique survey data on stock market predictions of investors. We apply the Parkinson estimate based on extreme bounds around the stock forecast to deduce investor confidence. The results support overconfidence.

This paper applies the new procedure developed by Bai and Ng (2006a) to explore the relation between the Fama–French factors and the latent risk factors in China’s stock market. The results show that the Fama–French factors are good proxies for risk factors of portfolios. For individual...

We demonstrate that the European Monetary Union (EMU) increases cross-border depositing but not lending among EMU countries by 31%. While being a member of the European Union (EU) increases cross-border loans by 49%, cross-border deposit volumes are unaffected.

This experiment shows that varying the commission received by financial advisors strongly influences insurance purchase.