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This paper studies the model equation YT = [lambda]YT - 1 + [alpha]0XT + [alpha]1XT - 1 and its error-correction equivalent as a temporal aggregate of an underlying true equation in continuous time. Given a stylized fact about [alpha]0 / [alpha]1 we find that...
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Many macroeconomic time series variables show signs of periodicity, that is, seasonal heteroskedasticity and seasonally varying autocorrelation structures. This paper argues that these periodic properties could in part be due to data revisions in case such revisions follow a particular format....
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