Our paper examines the long run relationship between economic growth and the current account balance equilibrium by relying on the BoP constrained growth model. We find that Vietnam grew less than the rate predicted when the period 1985 to 2010 as a whole is considered, but with different...

In this paper we use a simple standard overlapping generations model to assess the impact of foreign aid. Donors are not able to modify the sharing out of aid between old and young in the recipient economy. This assumption is in line with the deference to the elders, which characterises the...

This paper analyses the dynamics and welfare properties of a simple AK endogenous growth model with intersectoral capital externalities. When externalities are sufficiently large, the model generates multiple growth trajectories all convergingtowards the (unique) balanced growth path. Solving...

In this paper, we test whether oil price predicts economic growth for 28 developed and 17 developing countries. We use predictability tests that account for the key features of the data, namely, persistency, endogeneity, and heteroskedasticity. Our analysis considers a large number of countries,...

Employing the MS-ARJI-GJR-GARCH-X model, in which the parameters for the jump process, the asymmetric GARCH effect and the impacts of oil price shocks are regime-dependent, this paper analyzes the impact of crude oil price shock on stock return dynamics. Empirical results reveal three...

In this comprehensive empirical study we critically evaluate the use of forecast averaging in the context of electricity prices. We apply seven averaging and one selection scheme and perform a backtesting analysis on day-ahead electricity prices in three major European and US markets. Our...

This paper attempts to empirically explore the effects of trade liberalization process in Tunisia on average real wages and wage inequality, via industry rents. For this purpose, we adopt, following Revenga (1997), a flexible model of wage setting that can accommodate both the presence of...

This paper explores the impact of trade openness on the economic growth of Brazilian states according to their initial income level. This empiri- cal study covers 26 Brazilian states over the period 1989-2002. Growth rates of Brazilian states are modeled as dependent on international trade flows...