Based on multivariate Markov-switching models, this paper presents new results on the interactions between global imbalances, credit spreads, housing markets, macroeconomic variables, commodities and equities during Q1-1987/Q1-2011. We show that rising global imbalances and the uncontrolled...

We reinvestigate the issue of excess comovements of commodity prices initially raised in Pindyck and Rotemberg (1990). While Pindyck and Rotemberg and following contributions consider this issue using an arbitrary set of control variables, we develop our analysis using recent development in...

Econometrics has strongly evolved in recent years on both the methodological level as well as in terms of applications. This article presents the different econometric methods (time series econometrics, information panels, models of duration,...) and their applications for the enterprise: demand...

As both speculative and hedging financial flows into commodity futures are expected to link commodity price formation more strongly to equity indices, we investigate whether these processes also create increased correlation amongst the commodities themselves. Considering U.S. oil and gas...

We proceed to an impulse-response analysis on the conditional correlations between three stock indices returns: the S&P 500, the ftse 100 and the Nikkei 225. As a first step, a general asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation (ga-dcc) model proposed by Cappiello, Engle and Sheppard [2006] is...

I use a dynamic microsimulation model to analyse the distributional effects of an expansion of education in Côte d'Ivoire in the medium and long term (1998-2015). The simulations are performed in order to replicate several policies in force or subject to debate in this country. Various...

We extend the model of Leith and Wren-Lewis (2000) to the case of a monetary union. Within a two-country dynamic model with wealth private behaviours, we study the implications of stabilising public debt on monetary and fiscal policies. The model is a macroeconomic version of the Fiscal Theory...

According to the fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL), the interactions between monetary and fiscal policies with governments facing the possibility to act in a non-Ricardian manner make the general price level be fully determined. Here, depending on the expectations framework, we show to...

We proceed to an impulse response analysis on the conditional correlations between three stock indices returns: the Nikkei, the FTSE 100 and the S&P 500. As a first step, we estimate an extension of the general asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation (GADCC) model proposed by Cappiello,...