This article adopts the asymmetric DCC with one exogenous variable (ADCCX) model developed by Vargas (2008), by updating the concept of ‘volatility surprise’ to capture cross-market relationships. Current methods for measuring spillovers do not focus on volatility interactions, and neglect...

The future emergence of a European monetary zone is set to transform the configuration of the international monetary system and the roles of the dollar, the Euro and the yen within this system. This book addresses this issue with discussion of: * exchange rate policies pursued in the principal...

The main purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the effect of debt overhang on real equilibrium exchange rate. Using a panel of twenty Sub-Saharan African countries, we find a non linear effect of external public debt on real exchange rate. External public debt negatively affects the real...

The main objective of this paper is to study the relationship between external public debt and equilibrium real exchange rate in developing countries. Using a extension of Obstfeld & Rogoff (1995) model we show that debt overhang tend to appreciate real exchange rate in the long run (Krugman...

This article looks inside the black box of order flows to understand why order flows models of exchange rate are more competitive than traditional models of exchange rate. We set a theoretical model that relies on a behavioural exchange rate model and a microstructure model. The model puts...

Empirical evidence shows that fundamental models have produced disappointing results over the past 20 years while carry trade strategies have performed superbly. But the real picture is much more complex. In fact, the track records of both strategies have varied considerably. This article shows...

Using equilibrium exchange rate models (PPP, BEER and FEER), many authors have concluded that the renminbi is undervalued by 15 to 30% against the dollar, but they implicitly assume that the economy is at full-employment, a debatable hypothesis for developing economies such as China, whose...

L'ouvrage présente une vision globale de la finance internationale. Avec les techniques financières, le marché des changes, la gestion des risques internationaux ou les places financières internationales.