This paper explores the forecasting abilities of Markov-Switching models. Although MS models generally display a superior in-sample fit relative to linear models, the gain in prediction remains small. We confirm this result using simulated data for a wide range of specifications. In order to...

Because IPO mechanisms determine both the initial trading price and the allocation of newly-listed firms' shares, they have financial and strategic consequences for shareholders. For that reason, it is of interest to analyse the relative advantages and disadvantages of the different procedures...

Analyse polémique des instructions administratives sur la finance islamique

In this article, tests for globalization and contagion are separated using an ex ante definition of crises, and contagion tests are neutralized with respect to globalization effects. A large database is constructed to study the stability of correlation matrices for four asset classes : equities,...

We analyze empirically the determinants of Eurozone Treasury bills yields. Market microstructure as well as macroeconomic variables are found to significantly impact yields. Secondary trading in a centralized transparent electronic limit order book enhances liquidity and thus reduce yields....

Globalization probably had less impact on regional inequalities than fiscal distortions

Depuis 1995 le processus euroméditerranéen est en panne. Ce retard pourrait être facteur de tensions économiques, mais surtout politique et sociales. Débat sur la feuille de route des 5 pays du nord et des 5 pays du sud de la Méditerranée qui pourraient constituer la charpente d'une...

The organization of securities markets has not benefited from the feigned attempts of reform presented by authorities since the outbreak of the current crisis. However, speculative opportunities like the risks incurred also depend on the markets on which one operates. The Markets in Financial...

This paper presents a model to analyze the consequences of competition in order-flow between a profit maximizing stock exchange and an alternative trading platform on the decisions concerning trading fees and listing requirements. Listing requirements, set by the exchange, provide public...

We propose a model of seasonal gas markets which is flexible enough to include supply and demand shocks while also considering natural gas as an exhaustible resource. Using US data, we estimate the model’s structural parameters and test economically founded restrictions. We analyze,...