Showing 1 - 10 of 148
It is common to assert, in the literature on commodity derivative markets, that the behavior of futures prices is characterized by the "Samuelson Hypothesis": there is a decreasing pattern of volatilities along the prices curve. Despite some debates about statistical measurements, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790033
We reinvestigate the issue of excess comovements of commodity prices initially raised in Pindyck and Rotemberg (1990). While Pindyck and Rotemberg and following contributions consider this issue using an arbitrary set of control variables, we develop our analysis using recent development in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707568
As both speculative and hedging financial flows into commodity futures are expected to link commodity price formation more strongly to equity indices, we investigate whether these processes also create increased correlation amongst the commodities themselves. Considering U.S. oil and gas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707996
We proceed to an impulse-response analysis on the conditional correlations between three stock indices returns: the S&P 500, the ftse 100 and the Nikkei 225. As a first step, a general asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation (ga-dcc) model proposed by Cappiello, Engle and Sheppard [2006] is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708045
This study extends the traditional set of central bank's interventions to include official announcements in order to provide empirical evidence on two pivotal questions: (i) are FX authorities able to influence market expectations with different instruments? (ii) how should interventions be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708344
We proceed to an impulse response analysis on the conditional correlations between three stock indices returns: the Nikkei, the FTSE 100 and the S&P 500. As a first step, we estimate an extension of the general asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation (GADCC) model proposed by Cappiello,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011072507
We investigate the macro factors that can explain the monthly oil futures return for the NYMEX WTI futures contract for the time period 1993:11 to 2010:03. We build a new database of 187 real and nominal macroeconomic variables from developed and emerging countries and resort to the large factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011073526
We empirically reinvestigate the issue of excess comovement of commodity prices initially raised in Pindyck and Rotemberg (1990) and show that excess comovement, when it exists, can be related to hedging and speculative pressure in commodity futures markets. Excess comovement appears when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011073980
After having been considered as a public good during decades, electricity is now regarded as a tradable commodity in most developed countries. Since they were launched twenty years ago, electricity derivative markets exhibit sustained rises in their transaction volumes. Even if these markets are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099443
In this paper, we check the hypothesis of a time varying cointegration relation between four industrial countries' per … the hypothesis of time evolving cointegration in all cases. Tests on the parameters of these cointegration relations show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707010