Showing 1 - 10 of 214
The recent period has highlighted a well-known phenomenon, namely the existence of a positive bias in experts’ anticipations. Literature on this subject underlines optimism in the financial analyst community. In this work, our significant contributions are twofold: we provide explanatory bias...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905325
The evaluation of the reliability of analysts' earnings forecasts is an important aspect of research for different reasons: Many empirical studies employ analysts' consensus forecasts as a proxy for the market's expectations of future earnings in order to identify the unanticipated component of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905358
This paper explores the forecasting abilities of Markov-Switching models. Although MS models generally display a … data for a wide range of specifications. In order to explain this poor performance, we use a forecasting error decomposition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011072104
The aim of this article is to investigate whether anticipated technological progress can be expected to be strong enough to offset carbon dioxide (CO2)emissions resulting from the rapid growth of air transport. Aviation CO2 emissions projections are provided at the worldwide level and for eight...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011072424
This paper merges two specifications recently developed in the forecasting literature: the MS-MIDAS model (Guérin and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273978
forecasting of macroeconomic variables. In this context, Bai and Ng (2008) find an improvement in selecting indicators according …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010706538
This paper develops new bridge models to forecast the quarterly GDP growth in France in the short run. We only use data from business survey in the French industry, services and construction. Two alternative methods are considered. The first one relies on the GETS algorithm applied to blocks of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011072436
forecast macroeconomic variables. We examine the performance of these models in forecasting the French GDP growth rate over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011074400
forecast macroeconomic variables. We examine the performance of these models in forecasting French GDP growth over short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099442
We examine the effects of collateral provision as a potential channel between funding liquidity tensions and the scarcity of market liquidity. This channel consists in transferring the credit risk associated with refinancing operations between financial institutions to market participants that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010861364