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employers' expectations to workers' revealed trustworthiness, we are able to detect potential misperceptions leading to sub …-optimal trust.  Expectations are largely inelastic with respect to news and negative signals have a strong (downward) effect than … positive ones.  Our results suggest that raising employers' expectations would have a strong impact on hiring. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011159006
Poor people often do not make investments, even when returns are high.  One possible explanation is that they have low aspirations and form mental models which ignore some options for investment.  This paper reports on findings of an innovative experiment to test this in rural Ethiopia. ...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011159027
during an inflation, changing expectations shift in Phillips curve.  It is suggested that the fact of this mistake, and of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011004175
To my knowledge this study undertakes the first comprehensive and systematic empirical test of the hypothesis that while returns to invested capital in Sub-Saharan Africa are high compared to select Asian and South American markets, investment rates are low.  I investigate three sources:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011004291
There is a widely believed but entirely mythical story to the effect that the discovery of 'the Phillips curve' was, in the 1960s and perhaps later, an inspiration to inflationist policy.  The point that this is a myth is argued in Forder, Macroeconomics and the Phillips curve myth, OUP 2014. ...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011004356
This paper investigates whether expectations of trustworthiness and resulting acts of trust accord with an objective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604856
expectations', where misleading results follow from present mathematical approaches for realistic economies.  The appropriate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008829642
that a disappointment averse agent, who is loss averse around her endogenous expectations-based reference point, responds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998381
inferential expectations. If a belief is overturned through the build-up of evidence, agents are assumed to switch to the rational … expectation. Thus, rational expectations is a special case of inferential expectations if agents are unconcerned about mistakenly … an individual choice experiment showing preliminary support for inferential expectations in comparison to either rational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005090639
the rational expectations benchmark for plausible parameter values and mild persistence in the shock. Taken together …, these results formally illustrate how policies which encourage expectations anchoring may be beneficial for the economy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005090687