We propose a simple intertemporal model of output and current account dynamics that we estimate using a cointegrated VAR approach. We suggest a method for identifying global and country-specific shocks from the VAR and test it, using cross-country evidence.

We estimate Shiller portfolio weights for OECD countries and US states. We find that the income of US federal states is derived to about 50 percent from own output, that of OECD countries to about 60 percent.This suggests that US states display considerable ’home bias at home’ and that the...

"Fixed frequency effect models" represent a powerful tool for analyzing time series exhibiting strong periodicities. However, in spite of their appeal to the practitioner, their use has been constrained by ignorance about their statistical properties. This paper attempts to oer a comparison...