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subject to self-fulfilling variations in the world real interest rate. Those expectation-driven changes in the borrowing cost … asset prices, GDP, consumption, investment and employment). When firms around the world benefit from unexpectedly low debt … internationally. Such a stylized model thus offers one way to rationalize both the existence of world business-cycle factor documented …
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the structural, non-(log-)linear impact of trade barriers on trade in new trade theory models. Structural new trade theory … empirical model which takes into account both that preferential trade agreement membership is endogenous and that the world …
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We propose an extended time-varying parameter Vector Autoregression that allows for an evolving relationship between the variances of the shocks. Using this model, we show that the relationship between the conditional variance of GDP growth and the long-term interest rate has become weaker over...
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