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The equity variance risk premium is the expected compensation earned for selling variance risk in equity markets. The variance risk premium is positive and shows moderate persistence. High variance risk premiums coincide with the left tail of the consumption growth distribution shifting down....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481691
We ask whether stock returns in France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the US are predictable by three instruments: the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470517
This paper develops mew robust inference procedures for analyzing the intraday return volatility patterns that constitute a focal point of much market microstructure theory. Our empirical analysis is motivated by the recent lifting of trading restrictions in the interbank foreign exchange (FX)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472145
The paper characterizes predictable components in excess rates of returns on major equity and foreign exchange markets using lagged excess returns, dividend yields, and forward premiums as instruments. Vector autoregressive techniques demonstrate one-step-ahead predictability and provide implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475210