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In this paper, we consider daily financial data of a collection of different stock market indices, exchange rates, and interest rates, and we analyze their multi-scaling properties by estimating a simple specification of the Markov- switching multifractal model (MSM). In order to see how well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003441222
based on a variant of the herding mechanism introduced by Kirman [22]. The statistical analysis of our simulated data shows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003392142
Financial markets (share markets, foreign exchange markets and others) are all characterized by a number of universal power laws. The most prominent example is the ubiquitous finding of a robust, approximately cubic power law characterizing the distribution of large returns. A similarly robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003392144
Multifractal processes have recently been proposed as a new formalism for modelling the time series of returns in finance. The major attraction of these processes is their ability to generate various degrees of long memory in different powers of returns - a feature that has been found in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003392192
Multi-fractal processes have recently been proposed as a new formalism for modelling the time series of returns in finance. The major attraction of these processes is their ability to generate various degrees of long memory in different powers of returns - a feature that has been found in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002468813
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We adapt the multifractal random walk model by Bacry et al. (2001) to realized volatilities (denoted RV-MRW) and take stock of recent theoretical insights on this model in Duchon et al. (2012) to derive forecasts of financial volatility. Moreover, we propose a new extension of the binomial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012672178