Showing 1 - 10 of 16
This study extends the hybrid version of the baseline New-Keynesian model with heterogeneous agents who may adopt various forecast heuristics. With a focus on consumer expectations, we identify the most appropriate pairs of forecast heuristics that can lead to an equivalent fit to the data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011942376
In this study, we analyze the macroeconomic dynamics under various shocks in two competing frameworks. Given the baseline New-Keynesian model, we compare the impulse response functions that stem from the hybrid version under rational expectations with the ones obtained in the forward-looking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011942439
In this paper, we introduce the simulated maximum likelihood method for identifying behavioral heuristics of heterogeneous agents in the baseline three-equation New Keynesian model. The method is extended to multivariate macroeconomic optimization problems, and the estimation pro-cedure is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011942452
In this paper we apply a sensitivity analysis regarding two types of prior information considered within the Bayesian estimation of a standard hybrid New-Keynesian model. In particular, we shed a light on the impact of micro- and macropriors on the estimation outcome. First, we investigate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010234025
In this we investigate the welfare effects of optimal monetary policy measurements within a high-frequency New-Keynesian model i.e. under variation of the period length. Our results indicate that the policy maker faces a higher welfare loss on a higher relative to a lower frequency of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010234027
In this paper we analyze a hybrid small-scale New-Keynesian model with an arbitrary frequency of the agents’ synchronized decision making. We study the impact of various demand and supply shocks on the dynamics of the model variables. We show that the corresponding impulse-response functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010234030
In a small-scale New-Keynesian model with a hybrid Phillips curve and IS equation, the paper is concerned with an arbitrary frequency of the agents’ synchronized decision making. It investigates the validity of a fundamental methodological precept according to which no substantive prediction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003930231
In this paper, we empirically examine a heterogenous bounded rationality version of a hybrid New-Keynesian model. The model is estimated via the simulated method of moments using Euro Area data from 1975Q1 to 2009Q4. It is generally assumed that agents' beliefs display waves of optimism and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009669699
The paper considers an elementary New-Keynesian three equation model and compares its Bayesian estimation to the results from the method of moments (MM), which seeks to match finite set of the model-generated second moments of inflation, output and the interest rate to their empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618804
In this paper we empirically examine a heterogeneous bounded rationality version of a hybrid New-Keynesian model. The model is estimated via the simulated method of moments using Euro Area data from 1975Q1 to 2009Q4. It is generally assumed that agents’ beliefs display waves of optimism and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632901