The paper presents the text of an inaugural lecture given at the Bank of England in December 2005 in memory of John Flemming. It provides a personal view of the lessons that can be drawn about currency unions from the experience of the European Monetary Union. It argues that business cycle...

In this article, the impact of the Asian crisis on the saving-investment relationship of selected East Asian countries with the rest of the world is examined using a Markov switching regression on East Asian countries. As a first result, estimates of the saving retention coefficients show that...

Surging growth and rising interdependence of East-Asian economies during the last two decades have heightened interest in monetary and financial integration. From 1985 to 2005, the share of intra-regional trade in total trade for the South-East and East Asian region (including Japan) grew from...

This study brings new evidence on the relationship between openness and inflation. We estimate the impact of globalization on inflation in both developed and developing countries, and going further for different regional clusters. The results show that increased openness has without doubt the...

We study trade integration among fifteen selected Asian and Oceanic economies using factor models. The principal component approach is employed to extract the common factor that drives trade integration from bilateral trade integration series. It is found that the estimated common trade...

L'article traite de l'adhesion du Royaume-Uni a l'UEM. L'analyse de la Zone de monnaie optimale (ZMO) ne fournit que de faibles arguments en faveur de l'adhesion, car le Royaume-Uni est situe dans la peripherie et non dans le noyau de l'UEM. Cependant, les couts possibles de l'isolement (risques...

This paper examines the case for a monetary union, involving a common currency and a common central bank, between Australia and New Zealand. It gives a statistical profile of features of the economies that are relevant to the economic debate. The analysis follows a neo-Mundellian framework that...

The aim of this paper is to assess the financial integration degree of the Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) with the euro area in the prospect of their integration in the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). To this end, we test the Feldstein-Horioka regression for a non-stationary...

MacSim est un logiciel de macroeconomie qui place les etudiants en situation de "decideurs Publics" devant prendre des decisions de politiques economiques afin d'ameliorer la situation economique d'un pays europeen ou de l'ensemble de l'Europe. Les pays peuvent passer des accords monetaires, et...

Pour de nombreux pays d’Europe centrale et orientale la monnaie europeenne n’est pas seulement une nouvelle devise de reference. A plus ou moins longue echeance, elle represente leur future monnaie. Les pays les plus avances sur la voie des reformes – l’Estonie, la Hongrie, la Pologne,...