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Coping with disasters : two centuries of international official lending

Horn, Sebastian; Reinhart, Carmen M.; Trebesch, Christoph - 2020

Official (government-to-government) lending is much larger than commonly known, often surpassing total private cross-border capital flows, especially during disasters such as wars, financial crises and natural catastrophes. We assemble the first comprehensive long-run dataset of official...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012233649

Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers

Ha, Jongrim - 2020

We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479322

Corona politics : the cost of mismanaging pandemics

Herrera, Helios; Konradt, Maximilian; Ordoñez, Guillermo; … - 2020

The Covid-19 pandemic is a major test for governments around the world. We study the political consequences of (mis …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269818

The "Other" Imbalance and the Financial Crisis

Caballero, Ricardo J. - 2010

the U.S. would experience a sudden stop of capital flows, which would unavoidably drag the world economy into a deep … of exposing the economy to a systemic panic. This structural problem can be alleviated if governments around the world … instead that the root imbalance was of a different kind: The entire world had an insatiable demand for safe debt instruments …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463014

Thresholds in the Process of International Financial Integration

Kose, M. Ayhan - 2009

, however, is that there seem to be certain "threshold" levels of financial and institutional development that an economy needs …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463732

Global Imbalances and Financial Fragility

Caballero, Ricardo J. - 2009

behind this crisis is the large demand for riskless assets from the rest of the world. In this paper we present a model to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463959

Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth?

Kose, M. Ayhan - 2008

Economic theory has identified a number of channels through which openness to international financial flows could raise productivity growth. However, while there is a vast empirical literature analyzing the impact of financial openness on output growth, far less attention has been paid to its...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464090

Global Business Cycles : Convergence or Decoupling?

Kose, M. Ayhan - 2008

This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups -- industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464278

Financial Globalization : A Reappraisal

Kose, M. Ayhan - 2006

The literature on the benefits and costs of financial globalization for developing countries has exploded in recent years, but along many disparate channels with a variety of apparently conflicting results. We attempt to provide a unified conceptual framework for organizing this vast and growing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466181

Contingent Reserves Management : An Applied Framework

Caballero, Ricardo J. - 2004

One of the most serious problems that a central bank in an emerging market economy can face, is the sudden reversal of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467904