The report analyses recent economic developments and short- and medium-term development prospects, covering the countries of Central and Eastern Europe and Southeast Europe including Turkey, together with Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan and China. Separate chapters present an overview of...

Summary Despite near stagnation in the euro area and the negative impact of the Ukraine crisis, in most of the NMS economies and some of the Western Balkan countries growth prospects are viewed as positive. While the NMS economies will preserve their positive growth differential vis-à-vis the...

After a period of exceptionally high growth in the whole region of Central, East and Southeast Europe in the past two years, there has been some slowdown in GDP growth. Nevertheless growth remains largely robust. In particular the new member states of the EU (NMS) appear to be largely decoupled...

For Albania, we expect GDP growth of 1.9% in 2011 and 2.2% in 2012 respectively and a stronger increase to 2.6% in 2013 and 3.4% in 2014, the latter due to the election cycle and induced populist government spending. The assumption is that the government has no problems financing fiscal...

In Croatia, GDP growth will decline again in 2012 and should finally rebound only in 2013, provided external demand and competitiveness strengthen. The poor situation on the labour market will continue to be a major obstacle to a recovery in household consumption. The burdens associated with...