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This study investigates the role of oil futures price information on forecasting the US stock market volatility using the HAR framework. In-sample results indicate that oil futures intraday information is helpful to increase the predictability. Moreover, compared to the benchmark model, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013206077
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In this paper, we review studies of oil volatility prediction from a new perspective: that of investors who require economic evaluations of forecasting performance. Our results indicate that no single volatility model outperforms all of the competing models, of which GARCH and realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014310613
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