Bracale, Antonio; Caramia, Pierluigi; Carpinelli, Guido; … - In: Energies 6 (2013) 2, pp. 733-747
A<b> </b>new short-term probabilistic forecasting method is proposed to predict the probability density function of the hourly active power generated by a photovoltaic system. Firstly, the probability density function of the hourly clearness index is forecasted making use of a Bayesian auto regressive...