Electricity demand forecasting plays an important role in electricity systems expansion planning. In this paper, we present a trigonometric grey prediction approach by combining the traditional grey model GM(1,1) with the trigonometric residual modification technique for forecasting electricity...

The 1995 survey on decision analysis (DA) in energy and environmental modeling by [Huang et al. Decision analysis in energy and environmental modeling. Energy 1995; 20: 843–855] lists 95 publications. We updated the survey and found that the number of publications has almost tripled to 252. We...

We present the findings of a literature survey on decision analysis in energy and environmental modeling. Surveyed studies are classified according to the decision analysis technique used and by application area. It has been found that decision making under uncertainty is the most important...

We present a stochastic model for evaluating distributed generation investment under uncertainty. The objective is to estimate the break-even price and its probability distribution. The model is developed based on the probabilistic influence diagram technique and the main uncertain variables are...

The 1995 survey on DA (decision analysis) in energy and environmental modeling by Huang et al. [1] listed 95 publications; later Zhou et al. [2] updated the survey with 252 publications by classifying the studies according to source of publications, DA method, application area, and several new...

This paper consists of three inter-related parts. The first is a survey study on the application of growth curves to energy studies. A description on each of the four identified application areas, namely, energy resource analysis, energy demand modeling, fuel substitution, and energy technology...

Four interfuel substitution processes (ISPs) are modeled using growth curves based on the data for Southeast Asian countries. Income and price variables are incorporated in the models so that an ISP can be viewed in the context of a cause and effect system responding to the changes in the...

We present a method for decomposing industrial energy demand using the Divisia approach. This method involves decomposition of the aggregate energy-intensity index measured in terms of energy consumption per unit output. The factors considered are changes in production structure and sectoral...

We discuss some methodological and application issues related to decomposing national industrial energy consumption into changes associated with aggregate industrial production level, production structure and sectoral energy intensity. Past studies are classified and reviewed with respect to...

A method for estimating non-commercial energy consumption in the household sector of developing countries is presented. It has been observed that the energy demand for cooking is not income-elastic. The average requirement per person and hence the total requirement, both in useful energy terms,...