In this paper, we test whether oil price predicts economic growth for 28 developed and 17 developing countries. We use predictability tests that account for the key features of the data, namely, persistency, endogeneity, and heteroskedasticity. Our analysis considers a large number of countries,...

This paper provides a comprehensive nonlinear analysis of asymmetric adjustment of the dynamic relationship between energy intensity and urbanization using the time series data of 1978–2010 in China at both the national and the macro regional levels. Two sets of unit root tests are applied...

In this paper, the long memory properties of disaggregated fossils, coal and electricity retail consumption in the U.S. over the 1989–2009 period are examined. The presence of long memory is related to autocorrelation persistence of each series. Our results show that there is heterogeneity in...

This paper extends previous studies by investigating the relevance of structural breaks and long memory in modeling and forecasting the conditional volatility of oil spot and futures prices using a variety of GARCH-type models. Our results can be summarized as follows. First, we provide evidence...

This paper examines the effect of structural breaks on the spot–futures oil prices relationship. We explore the impact of structural breaks on four critical issues, including cointegrating relationships, market efficiency under the expectation hypothesis and the no arbitrage rule, causalities,...

This paper is concerned with the statistical behavior of oil prices in two ways. It, firstly, applies a combined jump GARCH model in order to characterize the behavior of daily, weekly as well as monthly oil prices. Secondly, it relates its empirical results to implications of Hotelling-type...

This paper contributes to the debate on the role of oil prices in predicting stock returns. The novelty of the paper is that it considers monthly time-series historical data that span over 150years (1859:10–2013:12) and applies a predictive regression model that accommodates three salient...