Showing 1 - 10 of 98
In this paper, we test whether oil price predicts economic growth for 28 developed and 17 developing countries. We use predictability tests that account for the key features of the data, namely, persistency, endogeneity, and heteroskedasticity. Our analysis considers a large number of countries,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729329
In this comprehensive empirical study we critically evaluate the use of forecast averaging in the context of electricity prices. We apply seven averaging and one selection scheme and perform a backtesting analysis on day-ahead electricity prices in three major European and US markets. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115909
Employing the MS-ARJI-GJR-GARCH-X model, in which the parameters for the jump process, the asymmetric GARCH effect and the impacts of oil price shocks are regime-dependent, this paper analyzes the impact of crude oil price shock on stock return dynamics. Empirical results reveal three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010681722
This study uses network theory to analyze the interactions of a representative sample of 13 European (EU) electricity spot prices during the period 2007–2012. We construct 7651 dynamic multivariate networks, where the nodes correspond to different EU countries and the links weight the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100132
This article compares the energy content in manufacturing exports in a set of 30 advanced and emerging economies and examines its evolution from 1995 to 2005, combining information from the OECD input–output matrices and international trade data in 17 manufacturing sectors. In addition, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010576105
Though there is a very large literature examining whether energy use Granger causes economic output or vice versa, it is fairly inconclusive. Almost all existing studies use relatively short time series, or panels with a relatively small time dimension. We apply Granger causality and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868695
Time series of electricity, petroleum products, and renewables are found to be highly correlated with total energy consumption. Applying this insight to the huge literature on energy-GDP causality explains that the results of total energy-GDP causality tests frequently coincide with the results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868712
This study discusses a combined use of DEA (Data Environment Analysis) and DEA–DA (Discriminant Analysis) to determine the efficiency-based rank of energy firms. This type of performance evaluation is important because we often have a difficulty in accessing a large sample on energy firms to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868803
In this paper we investigate two types of asymmetries, i.e., the asymmetry in the lower and upper tail dependences and the asymmetry in the propagation of crisis (bubble), between crude oil market and refined petroleum markets based on copula models. Thirteen copula models with different types...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010718765
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the criticism that energy demand estimates based on a specific price decomposition are sensitive to the chosen time period used for the estimation. To analyse this in a systematic way, different time series sample periods are constructed from annual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010718771