Showing 1 - 10 of 95
This paper extends previous studies by investigating the relevance of structural breaks and long memory in modeling and forecasting the conditional volatility of oil spot and futures prices using a variety of GARCH-type models. Our results can be summarized as follows. First, we provide evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010582222
This paper examines the effect of structural breaks on the spot–futures oil prices relationship. We explore the impact of structural breaks on four critical issues, including cointegrating relationships, market efficiency under the expectation hypothesis and the no arbitrage rule, causalities,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100109
In this paper we model the adjustment process of European Union Allowance (EUA) prices to the releases of announcements at high-frequency controlling for intraday periodicity, volatility clustering and volatility persistence. We find that the high-frequency EUA price dynamics are very well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039526
Prior research has shown that energy sector stock prices are impacted by uncertainty. The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has given rise to widespread health and economic-related uncertainty. In this study, we investigate the impact and the timing of the impact of COVID-19 related uncertainty on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235458
We employ a set of sign restrictions on the impulse responses of a Global VAR model, estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2–2011Q2, as well as bounds on impact price elasticities of oil supply and oil demand to discriminate between supply-driven and demand-driven oil-price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100097
This paper examines the short-run and long-run dynamic relationship between the U.S. imported crude oil prices and exchange rates. The monthly data of the U.S. crude oil imports from five source countries during January 1996 and December 2009 are examined. Empirical results indicate that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100126
Generation from renewable energy sources in Germany has experienced a considerable uptake in recent years. Mainly responsible for this development is the German Renewable Energy Sources Act (Erneuerbare Energien Gesetz, EEG). This paper considers redistributive implications of the EEG for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100088
In this paper, decisions regarding production in oil exporting countries are studied by means of theoretical analysis and empirical investigation. In particular, we aim at describing the relationship between oil production levels and changes in the world oil demand and prices.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100091
Electricity price time series usually exhibit some form of nonstationarity, corresponding to long-term behavior, one or more periodic components as well as dependence on calendar effects. As a result, modeling electricity prices requires accounting for both long-term and periodic components. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100094
This paper investigates the relationship between intermittent wind power generation and electricity price behaviour in Germany. Using a GARCH model, I evaluate the effect of wind electricity generation on the level and the volatility of the electricity price in an integrated approach. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100128