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We compare the macroeconomic consequences of several types of oil shocks across a set of industrialized countries that are structurally very diverse with respect to the role of oil and other forms of energy in the economy. The results crucially depend on the underlying source of the oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868797
A longstanding question in macroeconomics is whether fuel prices react more to increases than to decreases of the price of oil. This paper analyzes the response of weekly gasoline and gasoil prices to oil prices in the U.S., the euro area and the four largest euro area countries (Germany,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010718772
This paper examines the effect of the demand and supply shocks driving the global crude oil market on aggregate U.S. bond index real returns. A positive oil market-specific demand shock is associated with significant decreases in aggregate bond index real returns for 8months following the shock....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100079
In this paper we study the relationship between the oil price and stock market index of various countries between 1982 and 2007. We exclude oil and gas stock companies from the stock indices to remove the obvious direct linkage. Oil price series are converted into local currency to account for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100102
Increased financial integration between countries and the financialization of commodity markets are providing investors with new ways to diversify their investment portfolios. This paper uses VARMA-AGARCH and DCC-AGARCH models to model volatilities and conditional correlations between emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100112
We reconsider the conclusions about the importance of oil demand shocks and the unimportance of supply shocks reported by Kilian (2009). We investigate whether the proxy for worldwide real economic activity, dry bulk maritime freight costs, represents anything more than transportation costs by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729339
Although studies have found an asymmetric pattern in the response of aggregate output to oil price changes, parallel studies in stock markets have not been conclusive about their existence. This paper finds evidence that effects for oil-importing and oil-exporting countries run in opposite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868725
Applying sector stock prices and oil prices in 1991:01–2009:05 from the G7 countries we find oil price shocks do not significantly impact the composite index in each country. However, stock price changes in Germany, the UK and the US were found to lead oil price changes.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868756
This paper investigates the relationship between oil prices and the Chinese stock market at the sector level. In a panel cointegration and Granger causality framework, the major sectors in China are studied using data collected from July 2001 to December 2010. When the effects of cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868757
While two different streams of literature exist investigating 1) the relationship between oil prices and emerging market stock prices and 2) the relationship between oil prices and exchange rates, relatively little is known about the dynamic relationship between oil prices, exchange rates and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868767