Showing 1 - 10 of 123
Papers in the literature have thus far overlooked the projected increase in U.S. diesel car share when looking at asymmetries in petroleum pricing. This paper addresses this issue by comparing retail gasoline and diesel prices in order to see whether they rise faster than they fall given the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039583
This paper investigates the behaviour of spot prices in eight energy markets that trade futures contracts on NYMEX. We consider two types of models, a mean-reverting model, and a spike model with mean reversion that incorporates two different speeds of mean reversion; one for the fast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039557
We investigate volatility models and their forecasting abilities for three types of petroleum futures contracts traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (West Texas Intermediate crude oil, heating oil #2, and unleaded gasoline) and suggest some stylized facts about the volatility of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010616864
In this paper, we forecast energy market volatility using both univariate and multivariate GARCH-class models. First, we forecast volatilities of individual assets and find that multivariate models display better performance than univariate models. Second, we forecast crack spread volatility and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010587994
In the context of the liberalized and deregulated electricity markets, price forecasting has become increasingly important for energy company's plans and market strategies. Within the class of the time series models that are used to perform price forecasting, the subclasses of methods based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010571719
In this paper, we analyze the strategic function of gas storage focusing on how gas storage decisions impact competition between gas companies on both spot and downstream markets. Using a two-tier oligopolistic structure, we first show that gas storage is actually used strategically even in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729334
U.S. ethanol policies have contributed to changes in the levels and the volatilities of revenues and costs facing ethanol firms. The implications of these policies for optimal investment behavior are investigated through an extension of the real options framework that allows for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868699
This study investigates the dynamics of stock market liquidity in the energy industry in the US for 130 firms for the period 2006–2011. We use a (structural) vector autoregression approach to model the simultaneous relationships between three liquidity measures, namely turnover, price impact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868704
The use of biomass as a source of energy has been identified as a viable option to diminish reliance on fossil fuels. We parameterized the effect of selected internal (e.g. coal-fire presence), external (e.g. price and renewable energy mandates) and location (e.g. biomass availability,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868705
This study employs a flexible regime-switching EGARCH model with Student-t distributed error terms to investigate whether volatility regimes and basis affect the behavior of crude oil futures returns, including the conditional mean, variance, skewness, kurtosis as well as the extent of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868713