Showing 1 - 10 of 21
This paper explores the relevance of asymmetry and long memory in modeling and forecasting the conditional volatility and market risk of four widely traded commodities (crude oil, natural gas, gold, and silver). A broad set of the most popular linear and nonlinear GARCH-type models is used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729330
This article contributes to the related literature by empirically investigating the efficiency of nine energy and precious metal markets over the last decades, employing several pronounced models. We test for both short- and the long-run efficiency using, in addition to linear cointegration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010718750
Using a Bayesian Structural VAR (BSVAR), this paper analyzes the short-term dynamics of the prices of CO2 emissions in response to changes in the prices of oil, coal, natural gas and electricity. The results show that: (i) a positive shock to the crude oil prices has an initial positive effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115927
Over the past decade, the sharp increases in the prices of oil and agricultural commodities have raised serious concerns about the heightened volatility of these markets and the possible negative interactions between them. This article deals with the dynamic return and volatility spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100106
In this article, we show how the copula-GARCH approach can be appropriately used to investigate the conditional dependence structure between the crude oil and natural gas markets as well as to derive implications for portfolio risk management in extreme economic conditions. Using daily price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039677
We employ the time-varying copula approach to investigate the conditional dependence between the Brent crude oil price and stock markets in the Central and Eastern European (CEE) transition economies. Our results show evidence of a positive dependence between the oil and the stock markets of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010681724
This paper extends previous studies by investigating the relevance of structural breaks and long memory in modeling and forecasting the conditional volatility of oil spot and futures prices using a variety of GARCH-type models. Our results can be summarized as follows. First, we provide evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010582222
The objective of this paper is to investigate the volatility spillovers between oil and stock markets in Europe. As not all industries are expected to be equally affected by oil price changes, we conduct our study at both the aggregate as well as sector levels. Empirically, we make use of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010576121
Since its formation, OPEC through its conference decisions has been a major player in the world oil markets. The purpose of this paper is to examine the impacts of OPEC's different news announcements on the conditional expectations and volatility of crude oil markets in the presence of long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039532
This paper examines risk transmission and migration among six US measures of credit and market risk during the full period 2004–2011 period and the 2009–2011 recovery subperiod, with a focus on four sectors related to the highly volatile oil price. There are more long-run equilibrium risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039588