Showing 1 - 10 of 70
The aim of this paper is to study the oil price dynamic in West Texas Intermediate (WTI) market in the US. By using statistical and econometric tools, we first attempt to identify the long term relationship between WTI spot prices and the prices of futures contracts on the New York Mercantile...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868750
Prior research has shown that energy sector stock prices are impacted by uncertainty. The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has given rise to widespread health and economic-related uncertainty. In this study, we investigate the impact and the timing of the impact of COVID-19 related uncertainty on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235458
A previous research ignores the distinction between short term and long term, and by decomposing financial variables (world general and stock market indexes) and the macroeconomic variable (oil prices) at various time scales, we study the relationship among series on a daily scale by scale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939438
This paper deals with the analysis of two observed features in historical oil price data; in particular, persistence and cyclicity. Using monthly data from September 1859 to October 2013, we observe that the series presents two peaks in the spectrum, one occurring at the long run or zero...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939454
In this paper, we test whether oil price predicts economic growth for 28 developed and 17 developing countries. We use predictability tests that account for the key features of the data, namely, persistency, endogeneity, and heteroskedasticity. Our analysis considers a large number of countries,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729329
This paper explores the relevance of asymmetry and long memory in modeling and forecasting the conditional volatility and market risk of four widely traded commodities (crude oil, natural gas, gold, and silver). A broad set of the most popular linear and nonlinear GARCH-type models is used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729330
This study documents the return and volatility spillover effect between the stock prices of Chinese new energy and fossil fuel companies using the asymmetric BEKK model. Based on daily samples taken from August 30, 2006 to September 11, 2012, the dynamics of new energy/fossil fuel stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729337
This paper examines the price transmission mechanisms between domestic ethanol and imported ethanol in the US market using a multivariate Johansen approach. The data and model support one cointegrating relationship between the prices of domestically produced ethanol, imported ethanol, and other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010752922
This paper examines the relationship between oil prices and the US dollar exchange rate using detrended cross-correlation analysis. For a wide set of currencies in the periods before and since the onset of the recent global financial crisis, we characterized the oil price–exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010752926
This paper examines the relationship between biofuels, field crops and cattle prices in the U.S. from a new perspective. We focus on predictability in distribution by asking whether ethanol returns can be used to forecast different parts of field crops and cattle returns distribution, or vice...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010752931