Showing 1 - 10 of 162
This study investigates the dynamics of stock market liquidity in the energy industry in the US for 130 firms for the period 2006–2011. We use a (structural) vector autoregression approach to model the simultaneous relationships between three liquidity measures, namely turnover, price impact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868704
This paper uses high frequency spot price data from eight wholesale electricity markets in Australia, Canada, and the United States to estimate realized volatility and the frequency of price spikes. I find similar levels of realized volatility in Australia and North America, with estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868788
Motivated by repeated spikes and crashes during previous decades we investigate whether the heavily financialized market for crude oil has been driven by speculative bubbles. In our theoretical modeling we draw on the convenience yield approach in order to approximate the fundamental value of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868801
We propose a comprehensive treatment of the leverage effect, i.e. the relationship between returns and volatility of a specific asset, focusing on energy commodities futures, namely Brent and WTI crude oils, natural gas and heating oil. After estimating the volatility process without assuming...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939442
According to the Rockets and Feathers Hypothesis (RFH), the transmission mechanism of positive and negative changes in the price of crude oil to the price of gasoline is asymmetric. Although there have been many contributions documenting that downstream prices are more reactive to increases than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115916
Crude oil is a major driver of the global economy and its price dynamics are a key indicator for producers, consumers and investors. The increasing volatility of crude oil prices in the last decade has encouraged many researchers to model its dynamics. Recent studies have tried to explain this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115925
This study aimed to analyze the existence of asymmetric transmission of prices in the Brazilian gasoline market following a regional approach, using a disaggregated data set for the period between May 2004 and February 2011. The main result finds evidence of symmetric price transmission in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100135
We investigate volatility models and their forecasting abilities for three types of petroleum futures contracts traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (West Texas Intermediate crude oil, heating oil #2, and unleaded gasoline) and suggest some stylized facts about the volatility of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010616864
In this paper, we forecast energy market volatility using both univariate and multivariate GARCH-class models. First, we forecast volatilities of individual assets and find that multivariate models display better performance than univariate models. Second, we forecast crack spread volatility and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010587994
In the context of the liberalized and deregulated electricity markets, price forecasting has become increasingly important for energy company's plans and market strategies. Within the class of the time series models that are used to perform price forecasting, the subclasses of methods based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010571719