Electricity spot prices are characterized by sudden large movements, followed a few days later by an equally large movement in the opposite direction. These phenomena are called spikes (upward movements) and drops (downward movements). Recent research has suggested that the dynamics of the...

This paper differs from extant literature because it studies volatility co-movements with a multivariate orthogonalized HAR model, a flexible specification for the time series of realized volatility, which is able to identify short-, mid- and long-term spillover effects. We examine volatility...

This article contributes to the related literature by empirically investigating the efficiency of nine energy and precious metal markets over the last decades, employing several pronounced models. We test for both short- and the long-run efficiency using, in addition to linear cointegration...

Inspired by the increasing evidence of financialization/speculation in commodity pricing, this paper constitutes a first attempt to build an information diffusion-based asset pricing framework for the oil futures market. With gradual information dissemination, slowly decaying uncertainty about...

Much economic literature analyzes the Hotelling principal. Little economic literature analyzes the Hubbert curve although much controversy surrounds it. This difference in emphasis by economists needs to be reconsidered critically, and towards that end, we attempt to look at both concepts...

This paper studies whether the commonly used linear parametric model for estimating aggregate energy demand is the correct functional specification for the data generating process. Parametric and nonparametric econometric approaches to analyzing aggregate energy demand data for 17 OECD countries...

Brazil's first ethanol futures contract, which was implemented in 2000, failed to offer sufficient liquidity to attract market agents. The purpose of this study is to determine whether the new ethanol futures contracts launched by BMF-BOVESPA in 2010 meet the requirements to render them...

This paper seeks to contribute to the debate over the income–nuclear enery–CO2 emissions nexus by taking specific account of the possible endogeneity of income, which has been largely ignored by early studies. A multivariate cointegrated vector autoregression (CVAR) is applied to top six...

We propose an hour-ahead prediction model for electricity prices that capture the heavy tailed behavior that we observe in the hourly spot market in the Ercot (Texas) and the PJM West hub grids. We present a model according to which we separate the price process into a thin-tailed trailing...

The paper explores whether the question of why some countries are able to implement more extensive reforms is closely related to the question of why some countries have better institutions than others. We analyze this question by using an empirical econometric model based on Poisson regression...