Liu, Li; Ma, Feng; Wang, Yudong - In: Energy Economics 48 (2015) C, pp. 316-324
In this paper, we forecast excess stock returns of S&P 500 index from January 1997 to December 2012 using both well-known traditional macroeconomic indicators and oil market variables. Based on a dynamic model selection approach, we find that the forecasting accuracy can be improved after adding...