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Forecasting the real prices of crude oil under economic and statistical constraints
Wang, Yudong; Liu, Li; Diao, Xundi; Wu, Chongfeng - In: Energy economics 51 (2015), pp. 599-608
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011565055
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Forecasting U.S. real GDP using oil prices : a time-varying parameter MIDAS model
Pan, Zhiyuan; Wang, Qing; Wang, Yudong; Li, Yang - In: Energy economics 72 (2018), pp. 177-187
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011972301
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Asymmetric Realized Volatility Risk
Allen, David E.; McAleer, Michael; Scharth, Marcel - Tinbergen Instituut - 2014
forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272575
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Realized Volatility Risk
Allen, David E.; McAleer, Michael; Scharth, Marcel - Tinbergen Instituut - 2013
forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256164
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An Alternative Bayesian Approach to Structural Breaks in Time Series Models
Hauwe, Sjoerd van den; Paap, Richard; Dijk, Dick J.C. van - Tinbergen Institute - 2011
We propose a new approach to deal with structural breaks in time series models. The key contribution is an alternative dynamic stochastic specification for the model parameters which describes potential breaks. After a break new parameter values are generated from a so-called baseline prior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008838634
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An Alternative Bayesian Approach to Structural Breaks in Time Series Models
Hauwe, Sjoerd van den; Paap, Richard; Dijk, Dick J.C. van - Tinbergen Instituut - 2011
We propose a new approach to deal with structural breaks in time series models. The key contribution is an alternative dynamic stochastic specification for the model parameters which describes potential breaks. After a break new parameter values are generated from a so-called baseline prior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257521