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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009687378
This paper studies the information content of the S&P 500 and VIX markets on the volatility of the S&P 500 returns. We estimate a flexible affine model based on a joint time series of underlying indexes and option prices on both markets. An extensive model specification analysis reveals that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410916
This paper examines the price impact of trading due to expected changes in the FTSE 100 index composition, which employs publicly-known objective criteria to determine membership. Hence, it provides a natural context to investigate anticipatory trading effects. We propose a panel-regression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405289
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001613889
these linked bubbles primarily focus on the irrationality of investor speculation and the corresponding stock price behavior … examine a broad cross-section of security price data to evaluate the causes of the bubbles. Using newly collected stock prices … in 1720. Our findings are consistent with the hypothesis that financial bubbles require a plausible story to justify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463318
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We test for the existence of housing bubbles associated with a failure of the transversality condition that requires …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458510
We undertake a variance decomposition of index-linked bond returns for the US, UK and Iceland. In all cases, news about future excess returns is the key driver though only for Icelandic bonds are returns independent of inflation.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009427074
We study three centuries of U.K. fiscal history. Before WW-I, when the U.K. dominated global bond markets, the U.K.'s government debt was not always fully backed by its future surpluses, even after accounting for the seigniorage revenue from convenience yields. As predicted by theories of safe...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210087