In this paper we investigate the properties of the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test for autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and generalized ARCH (GARCH) in the presence of additive outliners (AO's). We show analytically that both the asymptotic size and power are adversely...

This note gives a few practical guidelines for cointegration analysis. The focus is on testing the cointegration rank in a VAR model and on how an intercept and a trend should be incorporated in the model. Only two cases appear relevant for most economic data.

In this paper we test for (Generalized) AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [(G) ARCH] in daily and weekly data on 22 exchange rates and 13 stock market indices using the standard Lagrange Multiplier [LM] test for GARCH and a new LM test that is resistant to additive outliers. The data...

In this paper we examine the interaction between data transformation and the empirical evidence obtained when testing for (non-)linearity. For this purpose we examine nonlinear features in 64 monthly and 53 quarterly US macroeconomic variables for a range of Box-Cox data transformations. Our...

The Interest in business cycle asymmetry has been steadily increasing over the last fifteen years. Most research has focused on the different behaviour of macro-economic variables during expansions and contractions, which by now is well documented. Recent evidence suggests that such a two-phase...