Showing 1 - 10 of 68
This paper proposes a hidden state Markov model (HMM) that incorporates workers' unobserved labor market attachment into the analysis of labor market dynamics. Unlike previous literature, which typically assumes that a worker's observed labor force status follows a first-order Markov process,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155058
The Great Recession pushed Japan’s unemployment rate to historic highs, but the increase has been small by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403441
using macroeconomic data on employment, unemployment, participation, and (for Canada) migration and real wages. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402300
The paper examines the consequences of fiscal consolidation in times of persistently low growth and high unemployment … unemployment at five-year horizons are significantly above one during PR episodes. These results suggest that medium-term fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411769
This paper examines the sources of disturbances to output in the United States and a set of EU countries and analyzes labor market adjustment mechanisms in these two economic areas. Comparable datasets comprising 1-digit sectoral data for eight U.S. regions and eight European countries are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396091
This paper presents a reappraisal of unemployment movements in the European Union. Our analysis is based on the chain … reaction theory of unemployment, which focuses on (a) the interaction among labor market adjustment processes, (b) the … growth drivers. Estimating a system of labor market equations for a panel of EU countries, we derive the dynamic unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271739
. We use a New Keynesian model with unemployment to predict the effects of different labor market institutions on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277963
The negative and stable relationship between an economy's aggregate demand conditions and overall unemployment is well …-documented. We show that there is a large degree of heterogeneity in the cyclical sensitivities of unemployment across worker and … economy groups. First, unemployment is more than twice as sensitive to aggregate demand in advanced as in emerging market and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796190