Showing 1 - 10 of 86
A basic equation, describing the temporal evolution of fields in a chiral medium with Kerr non-linearity is used to study the effects resulting from the combined action of chirality and non-linearity on optical solitons. The spatial chirality effect is characterized through the Born–Fedorov...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010748684
We are interested in obtaining forecasts for multiple time series, by taking into account the potential nonlinear relationships between their observations. For this purpose, we use a specific type of regression model on an augmented dataset of lagged time series. Our model is inspired by dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996579
This paper explores the use of neural networks to reduce the computational cost of pricing and hedging variable annuity guarantees. Pricing these guarantees can take a considerable amount of time because of the large number of Monte Carlo simulations that are required for the fair value of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200420
This paper proposes a data-driven approach, by means of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN), to value financial options and to calculate implied volatilities with the aim of accelerating the corresponding numerical methods. With ANNs being universal function approximators, this method trains an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200434
The purpose of this paper is to survey recent developments in granular models and machine learning models for loss reserving, and to compare the two families with a view to assessment of their potential for future development. This is best understood against the context of the evolution of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200500
In actuarial modelling of risk pricing and loss reserving in general insurance, also known as P&C or non-life insurance, there is business value in the predictive power and automation through machine learning. However, interpretability can be critical, especially in explaining to key...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200513
We propose a novel approach for loss reserving based on deep neural networks. The approach allows for joint modeling of paid losses and claims outstanding, and incorporation of heterogeneous inputs. We validate the models on loss reserving data across lines of business, and show that they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200515
We introduce a neural network approach for assessing the risk of a portfolio of assets and liabilities over a given time period. This requires a conditional valuation of the portfolio given the state of the world at a later time, a problem that is particularly challenging if the portfolio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200551
The goal of this paper is to develop regression models and postulate distributions which can be used in practice to describe the joint development process of individual claim payments and claim incurred. We apply neural networks to estimate our regression models. As regressors we use the whole...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200568
In this study, we use Neural Networks (NNs) to price American put options. We propose two NN models-a simple one and a more complex one-and we discuss the performance of two NN models with the Least-Squares Monte Carlo (LSM) method. This study relies on American put option market prices, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200606