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to the reference value around 4.5%. As a result of the policy, during the last ten years unemployment in France was twice …A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, π(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF …. The relationship obtained for France is characterized by A0=-1, A1=4, A2=0.095, t0=4 years, and t1=4 years. For GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835964
This paper studies the optimal unemployment insurance for older workers in a repeated principal-agent model, where the …). When unemployment benefits are the only available tool, the insurance agency is not able to induce older workers to search … for a job. This is because of the short time-horizon of workers close to retirement. We propose to introduce a pension tax …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647516
. Finally, even in the special case where search intensity is zero close to retirement, perfect risk-sharing across unemployment …At the end of working life, as well as reducing unemployment benefits, the unemployment-insurance agency could apply …-free. Second, the short job duration before retirement implies that the budgetary return and search incentives associated with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010775764
This set of three volumes argues that the mind – human consciousness – may be measured by considering mathematically the aggregate of that consciousness, i.e. social history. From this beginning theme of discussion three questions must arise. 1. How might this measurement be made? 2. Of what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259509
I argue that a form of consciousness may be found in American economic history, one which is both mathematically demonstrable and important. In this book I present a model of economic and political growth based upon systematic addition. We begin with a philosophic model of trade (pp. 34-46);...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259667
unemployment. This paper argues that this ratio is actually a Pi:1 proportion, heretofore unrecognized because it is displayed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260030
In sum, in these essays I explore the self-similarity between levels, the fractal structure of reality, through an investigation of an inherent and unavoidable uncertainty which is unique to each level. These essays will demonstrate that as each level struggles to resolve its own inherent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260442
This volume – Predicting Crisis: Five Essays on the Mathematic Prediction of Economic and Social Crises – is the first of three sets of essays. In this first set the economic and social history of the United States is shown to be a “system of movement,” i.e. a logical and mathematic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260672
, price inflation, labor force participation, productivity, and unemployment. The evolution of real GDP depends only on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260315
We have modeled the employment/population ratio in the largest developed countries. Our results show that the evolution of the employment rate since 1970 can be predicted with a high accuracy by a linear dependence on the logarithm of real GDP per capita. All empirical relationships estimated in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009220106