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Using quantitative survey data from the Swedish Consumer Tendency Survey as well as a unique data set on media reports about inflation, we analyze the formation process of inflation perceptions and expectations as well as interrelations between the variables. Throughout the analysis, the role of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008906650
Building on the models of sticky information, we endogenize the probability of obtaining new information by introducing a switching mechanism allowing agents to choose between costly rational expectations and costless expectations under sticky information. Thereby, the share of agents with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008729043
There is a growing interest in studying the disagreement of economic agents. Most studies, however, focus on the disagreement regarding one specific variable, hereby neglecting that disagreement may be comoving with disagreement on other variables. In this paper we explore to which extent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010526685
We investigate the updating behavior of individual consumers regarding their short and long-run inflation expectations. Utilizing the University of Michigan Survey of Consumer's rotating panel microstructure, we can identify whether individuals adjust their inflation expectations over a period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009707624
Using the microdata of the Michigan Survey of Consumers, we evaluate whether U.S. consumers form macroeconomic expectations consistent with different economic concepts. We check whether their expectations are in line with the Phillips Curve, the Taylor Rule and the Income Fisher Equation. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010201163
The DSGE model with endogenous and time-varying sticky information in Dräger (2010) is extended by allowing agents’ recursive choice between forecasts under rational or sticky information to affect the model solution. Dynamic equilibrium paths generate highly persistent series for output,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009270313
In this paper we explore the degree of anchoring of consumers' long-run inflation expectations. If expectations are firmly anchored, short- and long-run expectations should show no comovement in response to transitory shocks. Utilizing the University of Michigan Survey of Consumer’s rotating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009775798
Das im EWU-Vergleich zurückbleibende deutsche Wirtschaftswachstum wird immer wieder zum Anlass genommen, vor allem auf dem Arbeitsmarkt stärkere Flexibilität einzufordern. Sind die Ursachen für das schwache Wirtschaftswachstum Deutschlands tatsächlich primär auf dem Arbeitsmarkt zu suchen?...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302421
In einer radikalen Deregulierung des Arbeitsmarktes und tiefen Einschnitten in das System der sozialen Sicherung wird zumeist die einzige Möglichkeit gesehen, Deutschland aus seiner wirtschaftlichen „Schlusslichtposition“ zu manövrieren. Welche ökonomischen Argumente stehen hinter diesen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302960
In this paper the main developments in post-Keynesian macroeconomics since the mid-1990s will be reviewed. For this purpose the main differences between heterodox economics in general, including post-Keynesian economics, and orthodox economics will be reiterated and an overview over the strands...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011891329