Showing 1 - 10 of 42
We present an algorithm for moment-matching scenario generation. This method produces scenarios and corresponding probability weights that match exactly the given mean, the covariance matrix, the average of the marginal skewness and the average of the marginal kurtosis of each individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939780
We present a modeling framework for analyzing if the use of interruptible transportation services can improve capacity utilization in a natural gas transportation network. The network consists of two decision makers: the transmission system operator (TSO) and a shipper of natural gas. The TSO is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011209405
Choosing a suitable risk measure to optimize an option portfolio’s performance represents a significant challenge. This paper is concerned with illustrating the advantages of Higher order coherent risk measures to evaluate option risk’s evolution. It discusses the detailed implementation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010608496
This paper presents and implements a Benders Decomposition type of algorithm for large-scale, stochastic multi-period mixed complementarity problems. The algorithm is applied to various multi-stage natural gas market models accounting for market power exertion by traders. Due to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010608500
Asset allocation among diverse financial markets is essential for investors especially under situations such as the financial crisis of 2008. Portfolio optimization is the most developed method to examine the optimal decision for asset allocation. We employ the hidden Markov model to identify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010730166
The paper presents a generalized regression technique centered on a superquantile (also called conditional value-at-risk) that is consistent with that coherent measure of risk and yields more conservatively fitted curves than classical least-squares and quantile regression. In contrast to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010730182
Increased rates of mortgage foreclosures in the U.S. have had devastating social and economic impacts during and after the 2008 financial crisis. As part of the response to this problem, nonprofit organizations such as community development corporations (CDCs) have been trying to mitigate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871087
In this paper, we consider an electricity market that consists of a day-ahead and a balancing settlement, and includes a number of stochastic producers. We first introduce two reference procedures for scheduling and pricing energy in the day-ahead market: on the one hand, a conventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871142
We consider the situation when a scarce renewable resource should be periodically distributed between different users by a Resource Management Authority (RMA). The replenishment of this resource as well as users demand is subject to considerable uncertainty. We develop cost optimization and risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871166
For electricity market participants trading in sequential markets with differences in price levels and risk exposure, it is relevant to analyze the potential of coordinated bidding. We consider a Nordic power producer who engages in the day-ahead spot market and the hour-ahead balancing market....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871205