We find evidence for time-varying risk premia across international bond markets. Local and global factors jointly predict returns. The global factor is closely linked to US bond risk premia and international business cycles. Movements in the global factor seem to drive risk premia and expected...

The authors first discuss performance evaluation using stochastic discount factors and relate it to traditional mean-variance analysis. They then use Monte Carlo experiments to examine the properties of various general method of moment (GMM) estimators. The test statistics are fairly well...