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We revisit the hypothesis that cyclical fluctuations in unemployment are caused by shocks to the discount rate. We use … in the EU rate. The response of the unemployment rate is minuscule. These findings are at odds with the actual behavior … large unemployment fluctuations. We show that aggregate productivity shocks generate the correct comovement between the UE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481623
We study the long-run relation between money, measured by inflation or interest rates, and unemployment. We first … where both money and unemployment are modeled using explicit microfoundations, integrating and extending recent work in … accounts for some but not that much of trend unemployment -- by one measure, about 1/5 of the increase during the stagflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464723
Over the last century, unemployment, vacancy, job-finding and job-loss rates as well as the Beveridge curve have no … in which unemployment, vacancies, job-finding and job-loss rates are constant while the search technology improves over … that the quality of a firm-worker match is acceptable leading to a constant job-finding rate, unemployment, etc …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453198
We propose a new business cycle theory. Firms need to randomize over firing or keeping workers who have performed poorly in the past, in order to give them an ex-ante incentive to exert effort. Firms have an incentive to coordinate the outcome of their randomizations, as coordination allows them...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456927
We propose a novel theory of self-fulfilling unemployment fluctuations. According to this theory, a firm hiring an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459884