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(the US, Germany and the UK). This novel methodology is based on dynamic factor models, the EM algorithm and the Kalman … reveal clear international dependency patterns, strong enough to improve forecasts of Germany and to a lesser extent UK. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832611
regimes (high and low inflation). Using Bayesian techniques, we apply the model to the euro area, Germany, the US, the UK and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973538
Germany as center countries with rising / high current account deficits (US) and surpluses (Germany). These are matched by … analysis extends from 1981-2008, the results for Germany mostly capture the situation before the euro was created. - Global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973544
, Germany, Italy, the UK and the US. The following results emerge from our analysis. First, and contrary to the recent findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003337300
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003391867
This paper proposes an equilibrium relationship between expected exchange rate changes and differentials in expected returns on risky assets. We show that when expected returns on a risky asset in a certain economy are higher than the returns that are expected from investing in a risky asset in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003554934
We estimate the degree of "stickiness" in aggregate consumption growth (sometimes interpreted as reflecting consumption habits) for thirteen advanced economies. We find that, after controlling for measurement error, consumption growth has a high degree of autocorrelation, with a stickiness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778438
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