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(When) should a non-euro country join the banking union?

Belke, Ansgar; Dobrza´nska, Anna; Gros, Daniel; Smaga, … - 2016

We analyze the benefits and costs of a non-euro country opting-in to the banking union. The decision to opt-in depends on the comparison between the assessment of the banking union attractiveness and the robustness of a national safety net. The benefits of opting-in are still only potential and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446695

Business cycle synchronization in the EMU : core vs. periphery

Belke, Ansgar; Domnick, Clemens; Gros, Daniel - 2016

This paper examines business cycle synchronization in the European Monetary Union with a special focus on the core-periphery pattern in the aftermath of the crisis. Using a quarterly index for business cycle synchronization by Cerqueira (2013), our panel data estimates suggest that it is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570812

Measuring fiscal spillovers in EMU and beyond : a global VAR approach

Belke, Ansgar; Osowski, Thomas - 2016

This paper identifies and measures fiscal spillovers in the EU countries empirically using a global vector …") innerhalb der EU unter Verwendung eines Globalen Vektorautogressiven Modells ("GVAR"). Der Schätzansatz basiert auf einer … länderspezifischen Modellierung der EU-Mitgliedsstaaten und wichtiger internationaler Handelspartner unter Nutzung der …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570987

Unconventional monetary policy and inflation expectations in the euro area

Aßhoff, Sina; Belke, Ansgar; Osowski, Thomas - 2020

With the ECB's policy rate having reached the zero lower bound, traditional monetary policy tools became ineffective and the ECB was forced to adopt a set of unconventional monetary policy (UMP) measures. This paper examines the effects of the ECB’s UMP on inflation expectations in the Euro...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149519

International effects of euro area versus US policy uncertainty : a FAVAR approach

Belke, Ansgar; Osowski, Thomas - 2017

Building on the growing evidence on the importance of large data sets for empirical macroeconomic modeling, we estimate a large-scale FAVAR model for 18 OECD member countries. We quantify the global effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks and check whether the signs, the magnitude, and the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011640939

QE in the euro area : has the PSPP benefited peripheral bonds?

Belke, Ansgar; Gros, Daniel - 2019

The asset purchase programme of the euro area, active between 2015 and 2018, constitutes an interesting special case of Quantitative Easing (QE) because the ECB’s Public Sector Purchase Programme (PSPP) involved the purchase of peripheral euro area government bonds, which were clearly not...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994801