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Warrant economics, call-put policy options and the fallacies of economic theory
Hatgioannides, John; Karanassou, Marika - 2011
In this paper we aim to trace the roots of the ongoing economic mayhem and to unmask the chorus of the tragedy which plays on the world stage. The main thesis of our work is that, despite the triumphant rhetoric praising the merits of perfect competition, the global fields of the dysfunctional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282231
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Warrant Economics, Call-Put Policy Options and the Fallacies of Economic Theory
Hatgioannides, John; Karanassou, Marika - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2011
In this paper we aim to trace the roots of the ongoing economic mayhem and to unmask the chorus of the tragedy which plays on the world stage. The main thesis of our work is that, despite the triumphant rhetoric praising the merits of perfect competition, the global fields of the dysfunctional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009416932
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Low Frequency and Weighted Likelihood Solutions for Mixed Frequency Dynamic Factor Models
Blasques, Francisco; Koopman, Siem Jan; Mallee, Max - 2014
The multivariate analysis of a panel of economic and financial time series with mixed frequencies is a challenging problem. The standard solution is to analyze the mix of monthly and quarterly time series jointly by means of a multivariate dynamic model with a monthly time index: artificial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491332
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Nowcasting and Forecasting Economic Growth in the Euro Area using Principal Components
Hindrayanto, Irma; Koopman, Siem Jan; de Winter, Jasper - 2014
short-term forecasting models. These empirical findings have been established for different macroeconomic data sets and … specification is most effective in its forecasting performance. Furthermore, the forecast performances of the different … extended empirical out-of-sample forecasting competition for quarterly growth of gross domestic product in the euro area and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491343
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Groupthink: Collective delusions in organizations and markets
Bénabou, Roland - 2013
This paper investigates collective denial and willful blindness in groups, organizations and markets. Agents with anticipatory preferences, linked through an interaction structure, choose how to interpret and recall public signals about future prospects. Wishful thinking (denial of bad news) is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293122
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Efficiency Gains of a European Banking Union
Schoenmaker, Dirk; Siegmann, Arjen - 2013
An anticipated benefit of the prospective European Banking Union is stronger supervision of European banks. Another benefit would be enhanced resolution of banks in distress. While national governments confine themselves to the domestic effects of a banking failure, a European Resolution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326204
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Financial Crises and Liberalization: Progress or Reversals?
Saka, Orkun; Campos, Nauro F.; De Grauwe, Paul; Ji, Yuemei - 2019
Financial crisis can trigger policy reversals, i.e. they can lead to a process of re- regulation of financial markets. Using a recent comprehensive dataset on financial liberalization across 94 countries for the period between 1973 and 2015, we formally test the validity of this prediction for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012059123
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A Bayesian Approach to Excess Volatility, Short-term Underreaction and Long-term Overreaction During Financial Crises
Guo, Xu; McAleer, Michael; Wong, Wing-Keung; Zhu, Lixing - 2016
In this paper, we introduce a new Bayesian approach to explain some market anomalies during financial crises and subsequent recovery. We assume that the earnings shock of an asset follows a random walk model with and without drift to incorporate the impact of financial crises. We further assume...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451517
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Policies in Hard Times: Assessing the Impact of Financial Crises on Structural Reforms
Gokmen, Gunes; Nannicini, Tommaso; Onorato, … - 2020
It is commonly argued that crises open up a window of opportunity to implement policies that otherwise would not have the necessary political backing. The argument goes that the political cost of deep reforms declines as crises unravel structural problems that need to be urgently rectified and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180125
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Groupthink: Collective Delusions in Organizations and Markets
Benabou, Roland - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2013
This paper investigates collective denial and willful blindness in groups, organizations and markets. Agents with anticipatory preferences, linked through an interaction structure, choose how to interpret and recall public signals about future prospects. Wishful thinking (denial of bad news) is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010704406