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The author proposes a test for the parametric specification of each component in the diffusion matrix of a d-dimensional diffusion process. Overall, d (d-1)/2 test statistics are constructed for the off-diagonal components, while d test statistics are constructed for the main diagonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010531070
The author proposes a new test for financial contagion based on a non-parametric measure of the cross-market correlation. The test does not depend on the assumption that the data are drawn from a given probability distribution; therefore, it allows for maximal flexibility in fitting into the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852845
This paper examines empirically the impact of financial stress on the transmission of monetary policy shocks in Canada. The model used is a threshold vector autoregression in which a regime change occurs if financial stress conditions cross a critical threshold. Using the financial stress index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003981316
. The in-sample and out-of-sample forecasting performances are encouraging. In particular, the out-of-sample forecasting … linear regression and signal extraction approach across all forecasting horizons and all criteria considered. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456114
indicator. In-sample forecasting results indicate that the three composite indicators are useful tools for predicting financial … stress events. The out-of-sample forecasting results suggest that for most countries, including Canada, the weighted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010400740
The authors use the Financial Stress Index created by the International Monetary Fund to predict the likelihood of financial stress events for five developed countries: Canada, France, Germany, the United Kingdom and the United States. They use a semiparametric panel data model with...
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