Showing 1 - 10 of 23
We examine racial disparities in key labor market outcomes for men and women over the past four decades, with a special emphasis on their evolution over the business cycle. Blacks have substantially higher and more cyclical unemployment rates than whites, and observable characteristics can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710085
This paper discusses various concepts of unemployment rate benchmarks that are frequently used by policymakers for assessing the current state of the economy as it relates to the pursuit of both price stability and maximum employment. In particular, we propose two broad categories of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389411
The U.S. economy entered the 1920s with a robust job market and high inflation but fell into a recession following the … Federal Reserve's discount rate hikes to tame inflation. Using a newly constructed data set, we study labor market dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014030258
In the years following 2009, long-term unemployment has been very elevated while inflation has fallen only moderately … variation, can discriminate the independent influences of short-and long-term unemployment on price inflation. We present a …-term unemployment exert equal downward pressure on price inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055297
We argue that long-run inflation has nonlinear and state-dependent effects on unemployment, output, and welfare. Using … anticipated inflation and unemployment. Second, there is also a positive correlation between anticipated inflation and … unemployment volatility. Third, the long-run inflation-unemployment relationship is not only positive, but also stronger when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219614
This study examines the effect of shocks observed in financial markets on output and employment during the Great Depression. We present three main findings. First, an adverse financial shock leads to a decline in the manufacturing sector's output and employment that peaks about 11 months...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115113
This paper presents a framework to interpret movements in the Beveridge curve and analyze unemployment fluctuations. We decompose the unemployment rate into three main components: (1) a component driven by changes in labor demand – movements along the Beveridge curve and shifts in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122077
The recent Global Games literature makes important predictions on how financial crises unfold. We test the empirical relevance of these theories by analyzing how dispersed information affects banks' default risk. We find evidence that precise information acts as a coordination device which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014739
The 2007-2009 recession is characterized by: a large drop in employment, an unprecedented decline in firm entry, and a slow recovery. Using confidential firm-level data, I show that financial constraints reduced employment growth in small relative to large firms by 4.8 to 10.5 percentage points....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049182
In this paper, I examine the effects of a countercyclical fiscal policy that gave firms additional tax refunds -- additional liquidity -- at the end of the past two recessions. I take advantage of a discontinuity in the slope of the tax refund formula to estimate the policy's impact. I find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210372