We argue that long-run inflation has nonlinear and state-dependent effects on unemployment, output, and welfare. Using … anticipated inflation and unemployment. Second, there is also a positive correlation between anticipated inflation and … unemployment volatility. Third, the long-run inflation-unemployment relationship is not only positive, but also stronger when …

We consider what, if any, relationship there is between monetary aggregates and inflation, and whether there is any … paribus unitary relationship between inflation and money growth. Simulations of a New Keynesian model suggest that we should … allowance needed for the phase shift in the relationship between monetary growth rates and inflation. While financial innovation …

) could be efficacious in boosting output and inflation in economies facing persistent economic weakness, very low inflation, and … persistently high inflation if the central bank fully adhered to the program; or alternatively, that such a program would be …

We consider three ways that a monetary policy framework may employ a range for inflation outcomes: (1) ranges that … acknowledge uncertainty about inflation outcomes (uncertainty ranges), (2) ranges that define the scope for intentional deviations … of inflation from its target (operational ranges), and (3) ranges over which monetary policy will not react to inflation …

The pickup in the U.S. inflation rate to its highest rates in forty years has led to renewed attention being given to … the Great Inflation of the 1970s. This paper asks with regard to the Great Inflation: “How did it happen?” The answer … guided by a faulty doctrine—a nonmonetary view of inflation that perceived the concerted restraint of aggregate demand as …

inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint …, we show that an inflation bias as well as a deflationary bias exist as a steady-state outcome. We assess the predictions … of this model using unique individual-level inflation expectations data across nine countries that allow for a direct …

Building on the results in Nalewaik (FEDS 2015-93), this work models wage growth and core PCE price inflation as regime … price inflation that becomes much larger after labor markets tighten beyond a certain point. The results are informative for … assessing the likelihood and risks of meeting certain inflation targets on a sustained basis …