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the cost of inflation. Our model features a strategic complementarity between the buyers' ex ante choice of money balances … inefficient and welfare-ranked. Effects of inflation are highly nonlinear. When inflation is high, the buyer's money holdings bind …, and inflation therefore reduces trade through a standard real-balance channel. When inflation is low, the seller …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834047
dispersion reduces welfare by creating mismatch between posted prices and money balances. Inflation exacerbates this welfare loss …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932364
We argue that long-run inflation has nonlinear and state-dependent effects on unemployment, output, and welfare. Using … anticipated inflation and unemployment. Second, there is also a positive correlation between anticipated inflation and … unemployment volatility. Third, the long-run inflation-unemployment relationship is not only positive, but also stronger when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219614
We study aggregate, distributional, and welfare effects of a permanent reduction in the capital tax rate in a quantitative model with capital-skill complementarity and household heterogeneity. Such a tax reform leads to expansionary long-run aggregate output and investment effects, but those are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083466
The most common New-Keynesian model -- with sticky-prices -- has potentially implausible implications in a zero-lower bound environment. Fiscal and forward guidance multipliers can be implausibly large. Moreover, the sticky-price model implies that positive supply shocks, such as an increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055295
When Roosevelt abandoned the gold standard in April 1933, he converted government debt from a tax-backed claim to gold to a claim to dollars, opening the door to unbacked fiscal expansion. Roosevelt followed a state-contingent fiscal rule that ran nominal-debt-financed primary deficits until the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354637
We consider three ways that a monetary policy framework may employ a range for inflation outcomes: (1) ranges that … acknowledge uncertainty about inflation outcomes (uncertainty ranges), (2) ranges that define the scope for intentional deviations … of inflation from its target (operational ranges), and (3) ranges over which monetary policy will not react to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048772
Most wage-contracting models with rational expectations fail to replicate the persistence in inflation observed in the … data. We argue that coordination problems and multiple equilibria are the keys to explaining inflation persistence. We … thus rational. Based on quarterly U.S. data over the period 1955-2000, we find evidence that inflation is more persistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075815
literature, cannot explain the persistence observed in actual inflation. We argue that one of the more prominent alternative … generates inflation persistence, but this is a consequence of their assuming that workers care about the past real wages of … obtains the standard formulation with no inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075824
Using daily inflation data from the Billion Prices Project [Cavallo and Rigobon (2016)], we show how temporal … private agents and the central bank (the “Fed information effect”). We find that the adverse response of daily inflation to … and an unobserved components model of inflation dynamics. To reconcile how one can obtain a sizable adverse response with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077279