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chooses to stabilize wage inflation at the expense of price inflation, a policy resembling the policy that is optimal in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803019
We review two nonstandard uses of the policy rate tool, which provide additional stimulus when interest rates are close to or at the effective lower bound—forward guidance and negative interest rate policy. In particular, we survey the use of these tools since the star otf the Great Recession,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048768
We analyze the framework for monetary policy in view of the effective lower bound (ELB). We find that the ELB is likely to bind in most future recessions and propose some ways that theoretical models imply that the framework could be strengthened. We also discuss ways that commitment strategies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048769
unemployment as well as about the effect of economic activity on inflation. At the same time, a prolonged period of below …-target inflation has raised concerns about the unanchoring of inflation expectations at levels below the Federal Open Market Committee …’s inflation target. In addition, a low natural rate of interest increases the probability of hitting the effective lower bound …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048770
We review macroeconomic performance over the period since the Global Financial Crisis and the challenges in the pursuit of the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate. We characterize the use of forward guidance and balance sheet policies after the federal funds rate reached the effective lower bound....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048774
This paper presents a monetary DSGE model of the U.S. economy. The model captures the most important production, expenditure, and nominal-contracting decisions underlying economic data while remaining sufficiently small to allow it to provide a clear interpretation of the data. We emphasize the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014051114
maximization includes output stabilization, as well as inflation and output gap stabilization. We find that the variance of output … this rule, the optimal responses to inflation and the lagged interest rate are both declining in the size of the habit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014121754
-neutrality. While menu cost models uniformly predict that price change skewness and dispersion fall with inflation, in the Calvo model … both rise. However, CPI price data from the late 1970's onwards shows that skewness does not fall with inflation, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014122255
FRB/US, a large-scale, nonlinear macroeconomic model of the U.S., has been in use at the Federal Reserve Board for 25 years. For nearly as long, the FRB/US “project” has included a linear version of the model known as LINVER. A key reason that LINVER exists is the vast reduction in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077280
1980s not only conquered the Great Inflation, but also buried the Phillips curve itself. This paper provides an alternative … power of trade unions. We show that a nearly 90 percent reduction in inflation volatility is possible even without any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083465